Published on December 6th, 2013 | by Josh Chapdelaine0
The 2014 New York Mets Projected Lineup and Statistics: 777 Strikeouts?
The New York Mets today signed OF Curtis Granderson to a four-year, $60M contract that represents the club’s most significant offseason addition under Sandy Alderson. Granderson will be the club’s everyday right fielder moving forward and adds a significant power presence to the middle of the order. The 33-year-old outfielder hit 84 home runs from 2011-2012 before being missing the majority of 2013 with injury.
MLB’s winter meetings are scheduled to take place this week in Orlando, Florida, but the hot stove has been cranked up just days before. The Mets will presumably add to their roster before spring training, but the current lineup boasts significant potential. The outfield’s defense should rank amongst the best in game, which is nothing to sleep on. The Pittsburgh Pirates banked on defense in 2013, and in conjunction with aggressive positioning, clinched their first postseason berth in two decades. Furthermore, David Wright will finally have a proven power threat behind him in the lineup for the first time since Carlos Beltran in 2011.
Fangraph’s has posted Steamer’s 2014 projections, and some of the offensive metrics look appealing: Five projected starters look to post a slugging percentage greater than .400. Ike Davis projects to rebound, and Travis d’Arnaud should be a significant upgrade over John Buck.
The flashing red light of the projected lineup is the breeze. Not the Flushing breeze, mind you, but the cool breeze that Mets hitters are scheduled to produce. Granderson adds significant defense and power, but also whiffed a combined 364 times from 2011-2012. Chris Young is a similar story, although not as drastic. Young strikes out an average of 23% of the time he comes to the plate. If the club chooses to retain Ike Davis while fielding Granderson and Young, the lineup will have trouble reaching base.
The strikeouts are significant: Steamer projects the lineup with whiff 777 times in 2014 amongst starting position players alone.
2014 New York Mets Steamer Projections
1. Ruben Tejada SS* .260/.317/.339 -46 K
2. Daniel Murphy 2B .280/.323/.415 -74 K
3. David Wright 3B .289/.376/.476 -98 K
4. Curtis Granderson RF .233/.326/.442 -161 K
5. Chris Young LF .223/.310/.379 -120 K
6. Ike Davis 1B .238/.341/.439 -104
7. Travis d’Arnaud C .254/.320/.419 -85 K
8. Juan Lagares CF .254/.295/.365 -89 K
*Steamer projects Tejada will only play in 97 games.
Strikeouts aren’t necessarily an issue in 2014: The Boston Red Sox ranked 8th in Major League Baseball with 1,308 in 2013. However, the Mets ranked 4th with 1,384 and were far less fortunate.
The club has added to their offense, but will need significant additions to show marked improvement in 2014. Signing Granderson was a solid first step in the process, and the transactions should continue next week.
To read more about Steamer projections, click here.
Photo Credit: Michael Baron